Monday, April 9, 2007

2 places that are beyond intervention

What 2 places in the world is it the most dangerous for a white guy to wear an American flag t-shirt? The list of dangerous places is long, and would include places Mogadishu and Sierra Leone. But I'm pretty sure that right now, the two places I'm sure I wouldn't wear a flag t-shirt is downtown Tehran and any where Muqtada al-Sadr and his followers are planning a pot luck.

In Tehran they will capture you and put you on the governments tv channel in an attempt drum up propaganda. In Al-Sadr's world, it could get much worse. Al-Sadr has no international community to keep his movement in check. His followers are motivated by the death of those he opposes whereas Ahmadinejad builds his support by taking pot shots against the west, carefully walking the line of what is acceptable. A direct attack against the US or its interests would most likely be met with a substantial response.

But what type of response is their for Al-Sadr and his crew? No matter what the administration might tell us about the success of the surge, there is nothing we can do. Well unless we can resurrect Saddam and put him back in power. That's right, the only way the US can be successful is to go back to the status quo.

I may have said this before, but the US messed with a good thing; the construct of a nation state. Now the US is stuck in an unwinable conflict trying unproven techniques, with no clear time frame. This won't end well.

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