Well my national champ pick is basically trash. OK lost at Colorado this weekend to all but throw their NC hopes out the window. Texas, Oregon, WVU and Rutgers all did the same thing.
Now here is where you need to stay smart with your gambling. Next week is the red river shoot out and if the line starts at anywhere less then OK -6, you need to jump on it. Texas has really struggled all year, barely sneaking by teams like Ark St. OK has basically rolled except for a really crappy 4th quarter this week.
I think the same can be said for WVU. If Pat White is healthy, do they turn it over 6 times against USF? Look at the stats, they ran for 188 and pretty much shut down USF, but their backup QB just couldn't not turn it over.
I thought OU looked really good against Cal. Cal played next to perfect and OU still had a couple of chances to take the lead.
The conference games are really going to start get interesting this week with the red river shootout and LSU/Florida. Florida looked extremely pedestrian on offense vs Auburn. I think most people believe that LSU's D is even better. I wouldn't be shocked if this line was 14.
Purdue/OSU is a huge big ten match up. But who really believes that Purdue is going to beat OSU? How many times has Purdue been 5-0 then faced OSU or Michigan and show their true colors?
Kentucky/South Carolina is pivotal for the SEC. Kentucky has been huge this year, but SC D is seriously good. I sort of expect everyone to jump on Kentucky for this game. I'm sort of leaning the other way.
Can Notre Dame get a win? They head to a struggling UCLA this week. They looked like they actually had some offense last week, but I'm sure they'll be at least 17 point dogs. I'll stay away from that action.
Finally, my Gophers got drubbed by OSU at the Metrodome for the 11th consecutive time. That is the last time the Buckeyes will ever beat the Gophers there. Not because the gophers will be better, but because the new stadium will be open the next time OSU comes to town. This week against Indiana may be their best shot for a conference win.
Sunday, September 30, 2007
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